Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000760 0.000792 0.000823 0.000858 0.000894 0.000932 0.000974
2025-10-26 0.000698 0.000743 0.000790 0.000844 0.000902 0.000965 0.001038
2025-11-02 0.000659 0.000715 0.000774 0.000844 0.000922 0.001009 0.001112
2025-11-09 0.000621 0.000683 0.000752 0.000833 0.000927 0.001034 0.001165
2025-11-16 0.000590 0.000657 0.000732 0.000822 0.000930 0.001055 0.001213
2025-11-23 0.000577 0.000650 0.000732 0.000835 0.000959 0.001107 0.001299
2025-11-30 0.000560 0.000637 0.000725 0.000837 0.000975 0.001143 0.001366
2025-12-07 0.000538 0.000617 0.000709 0.000826 0.000974 0.001157 0.001405
2025-12-14 0.000517 0.000597 0.000692 0.000813 0.000969 0.001165 0.001436
2025-12-21 0.000501 0.000582 0.000680 0.000806 0.000971 0.001181 0.001478
2025-12-28 0.000474 0.000554 0.000649 0.000775 0.000939 0.001152 0.001456
2026-01-04 0.000461 0.000542 0.000640 0.000770 0.000941 0.001166 0.001495
2026-01-11 0.000450 0.000532 0.000632 0.000766 0.000946 0.001186 0.001542
2026-01-18 0.000437 0.000519 0.000621 0.000759 0.000946 0.001198 0.001580
2026-01-25 0.000429 0.000513 0.000618 0.000761 0.000957 0.001227 0.001643
2026-02-01 0.000417 0.000501 0.000607 0.000752 0.000954 0.001235 0.001675
2026-02-08 0.000406 0.000490 0.000596 0.000744 0.000950 0.001242 0.001706
2026-02-15 0.000403 0.000490 0.000600 0.000754 0.000974 0.001289 0.001803
2026-02-22 0.000397 0.000485 0.000597 0.000756 0.000986 0.001319 0.001872
2026-03-01 0.000387 0.000474 0.000587 0.000747 0.000980 0.001323 0.001899
2026-03-08 0.000377 0.000463 0.000575 0.000736 0.000972 0.001321 0.001918
2026-03-15 0.000369 0.000455 0.000567 0.000730 0.000970 0.001330 0.001954
2026-03-22 0.000354 0.000437 0.000545 0.000703 0.000936 0.001287 0.001899